Is 4th Quarter 2021 a realistic delivery date for the Cybertruck?

[Hookalakupua]

I will. 2023 for early deliveries, and 2024 for real production units.
that of course is based on if a Tesla can work out all the problems with a brand new designed unit. Meaning maybe a year later than that.

Finally, someone willing to stand up for their convictions! Haha. And to top it off, you’ve gone BIG DAWG and said 2023!! I love it!

Now with that said, no chance! Haha. With major other companies looking at releases next year, Elon isn’t going to be left with his pants down. Like most of the other release dates, the initial timeline has been out at the end of 2021 in order to not give any information away. And like the others (excluding roadster and semi), it will come to market early! With Rivian producing videos and well placed to deliver next year, there’s a zero chance in “H E Double Hockey Stick” that CT’s aren’t released in 2021!

Thanks again for standing up for what you believe and making this fun! ??

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[CyberMoose]

Finally, someone willing to stand up for their convictions! Haha. And to top it off, you’ve gone BIG DAWG and said 2023!! I love it!

Now with that said, no chance! Haha. With major other companies looking at releases next year, Elon isn’t going to be left with his pants down. Like most of the other release dates, the initial timeline has been out at the end of 2021 in order to not give any information away. And like the others (excluding roadster and semi), it will come to market early! With Rivian producing videos and well placed to deliver next year, there’s a zero chance in “H E Double Hockey Stick” that CT’s aren’t released in 2021!

Thanks again for standing up for what you believe and making this fun! ??

I agree. While I was originally a bit concerned when they said late 2021 production, because to me that meant basically meant getting their test vehicles done and then starting production for consumers, which would put deliveries in Q1 of 2022. However, seeing their timeline for their factory and how fast things are already coming together, I can now see that the late 2021 projection was a very conservative estimate and it's likely that even if they are months behind schedule with the factory, it's still highly likely that we will have plenty of people receiving their Cybertrucks before christmas.

 

[ReddykwRun]

In regards to a 2021 delivery date, I hope not. Don't want any defects and no duct tape and baling wire just to make a "deadline". I purposely waited a few days on the first reservation and waited a few months on the second reservation as a contingency plan if there are any issues with Tesla or ME. Gotta have a plan to have a future.

 

[Crissa]

All cars have tape in them somewhere.

-Crissa

 

[BillyGee]

In regards to a 2021 delivery date, I hope not. Don't want any defects and no duct tape and baling wire just to make a "deadline". I purposely waited a few days on the first reservation and waited a few months on the second reservation as a contingency plan if there are any issues with Tesla or ME. Gotta have a plan to have a future.

I like to think that my proximity to Tesla in the bay area and my use as a business vehicle will give me some level of priority on getting warranty issues covered.

 

[CyberMoose]

I like to think that my proximity to Tesla in the bay area and my use as a business vehicle will give me some level of priority on getting warranty issues covered.

How so? I don't think i've seen priority at dealerships when it comes to repairing a work vehicle. I know people that pay extra for a rush job at some shops in the Toronto area, or some businesses have their own maintenance departments to repair their work vehicles. If you are a handyman, it's likely you'll be treated just like any other Tesla owner, your loaner vehicle also might be a M3 and i'm sure they wouldn't want a loaner used for working, other than commuting. Also if business vehicles got priority, I would just buy an Uber sticker and tell them I need it back Asap.

 

[Cyber]

I like everyone's logic here. It is solid. But, we're talking about Elon Musk. Homeboy said he would fly a car in space and everyone did the "yeah, okay. Cool story, bro". Next thing you know, we have a Tesla in earth's orbit.

 

[Crissa]

Next thing you know, we have a Tesla in earth's orbit.

To be perfectly clear, it never established Earth orbit... They pushed it straight into Solar orbit. Which is a massive amount of thrust. The number of craft which have done that is still less than 100 or so ever.

-Crissa

 

[Cyber]

I stand corrected.

 

[Alan]

I stand corrected.

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

 

[Alan]

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

The upper stage supporting the car was initially placed in an Earth parking orbit.[5] It spent six hours coasting through the Van Allen radiation belts, thereby demonstrating a new capability requested by the U.S. Air Force for direct insertion of heavy intelligence satellites into geostationary orbit. Then, the upper stage performed a second boost to reach the desired escape trajectory.[

 

[Alan]

Actually I think starman orbited earth for about 6hrs.

I’m wrong It would have taken 24hrs to make an orbit.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

No one really knows. It is an informed guess as far as we know. Elon Musk says that there are nowhere near that many CT orders. He says 'several' hundred thousand. But if it were really over a million I think he would own up to it. So he thinks it is less than half a million I suspect. Then there are the inevitable people whose circumstances have or will change, or will have a change of heart, or will buy a Rivian, or an eF-150, or whatever. And of course they deliver by region, so if you live in a region where there are just a few reservations then it could be a good thing. And on it goes. So it is a guess.

 

[Crissa]

Then there are the inevitable people whose circumstances have or will change, or will have a change of heart, or will buy a Rivian, or an eF-150, or whatever. And of course they deliver by region, so if you live in a region where there are just a few reservations then it could be a good thing. And on it goes. So it is a guess.

...Which is probably why he's not claiming a number. There's an entire thread with different posters citing different definitions of the word 'several'.

-Crissa

 

[VolklKatana]

I put in my reservation, and in my excited state clicked the button 6 times....I only have 1 order left though...