Elon dying to make Cybertruck like yesterday! Will delivery be accelerated...

[craz]

Elon is itching to build the Cybertruck. The 3 and Y are great cars and important for The Mission, but they're vanilla mass-market vehicles. For Elon, the Cybertruck is a much needed respite from the latest bran meal offerings from Tesla, and is license to dream just like the early days of the company. The upswell of consumer interest only adds fuel to the fire.

Anyone think Elon's enthusiasm will accelerate the delivery schedule?

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[Cyberman]

Elon is itching to build the Cybertruck. The 3 and Y are great cars and important for The Mission, but they're vanilla mass-market vehicles. For Elon, the Cybertruck is a much needed respite from the latest bran meal offerings from Tesla, and is license to dream just like the early days of the company. The upswell of consumer interest only adds fuel to the fire.

Anyone think Elon's enthusiasm will accelerate the delivery schedule?

Yaa, so good to see!

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

Yaa, so good to see!

When I saw that I thought, maybe he will find a way to accelerate production. He did it with the MY, why not the CT?

 

[VI Tesla]

First hurdle will be the plant. Sounds like they're actively looking for this mid state location and probably have a short list already. Once chosen we know how fast they can throw one of these together so maybe it comes sooner than expected.
Personally I need a little more time to save up the $s, but I'm about 300K on the list so I'm thinking I've got time anyway. Unless these CTs go together quicker than they project. I think Elon said they were looking at a production of 50k a year to start, but this was early days so may have changed.

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

When Tesla unveiled the CT Musk said that it would be built at the Fremont plant. I do not know why everyone is focusing on this midwestern plant. It is possible that they will build CTs at Fremont until the the midwestern plant is operational, but there is no reason to believe that they cannot begin building CTs at another plant. I am convinced that the prototypes will be built in Fremont.

 

[ev4me]

This point leads me to ask, what is the assumed production capacity in the order tracking spreadsheet. It looks like it's assuming the new CT plant can crank out around 290k units per year. If so, based on what assumption? Freemont currently produces that much in a retrofitted plant (Toyota previously did about 500k/year). Also does the order tracking sheet account for assumed canceled orders?

There is most likely more than one way to accelerate production, but in the early stages I bet there is still time to increase the size of the facility before they break ground (assuming they don't acquire an existing plant).

 

[Jhodgesatmb]

I wouldn't put an ounce of faith into the 'order tracking spreadsheet'. It was just put together by people like us, with their own guesses. It may or may not be accurate, but if it is it is probably serendipity. And it doesn't and cannot take into account any/all of the factors that must come into play. It might be easier to guess if Tesla had stuck with the $2,500 reservation fee, but it is really anyone's guess how many $100 reservations will turn into purchases. I had an order for an MY that I cancelled when I put in the reservation for the CT, but the MY looks better al the time. If it weren't for the stainless steel and range of the CT I might even go back (but those factors are strong motivations for me to stick with the CT). I only provide this anecdotal example because 2+ years is a long time for anyone to hold onto an idea/dream, especially these days.

 

[ev4me]

I wouldn't put an ounce of faith into the 'order tracking spreadsheet'. It was just put together by people like us, with their own guesses. It may or may not be accurate, but if it is it is probably serendipity. And it doesn't and cannot take into account any/all of the factors that must come into play. It might be easier to guess if Tesla had stuck with the $2,500 reservation fee, but it is really anyone's guess how many $100 reservations will turn into purchases. I had an order for an MY that I cancelled when I put in the reservation for the CT, but the MY looks better al the time. If it weren't for the stainless steel and range of the CT I might even go back (but those factors are strong motivations for me to stick with the CT). I only provide this anecdotal example because 2+ years is a long time for anyone to hold onto an idea/dream, especially these days.

That's fair. I was just wondering and wanted to make my own judgement based off the sheet but needed to know more about it's own considerations.

 

[Cybr on]

I’d say expect sooner

When Tesla unveiled the CT Musk said that it would be built at the Fremont plant. I do not know why everyone is focusing on this midwestern plant. It is possible that they will build CTs at Fremont until the the midwestern plant is operational, but there is no reason to believe that they cannot begin building CTs at another plant. I am convinced that the prototypes will

I wouldn't put an ounce of faith into the 'order tracking spreadsheet'. It was just put together by people like us, with their own guesses. It may or may not be accurate, but if it is it is probably serendipity. And it doesn't and cannot take into account any/all of the factors that must come into play. It might be easier to guess if Tesla had stuck with the $2,500 reservation fee, but it is really anyone's guess how many $100 reservations will turn into purchases. I had an order for an MY that I cancelled when I put in the reservation for the CT, but the MY looks better al the time. If it weren't for the stainless steel and range of the CT I might even go back (but those factors are strong motivations for me to stick with the CT). I only provide this anecdotal example because 2+ years is a long time for anyone to hold onto an idea/dream, especially these days.

? wow. Nice read. Very much enjoyed.

 

[Cyber1qhorsey]

I'm wondering if 3/Y should go to the midwest Giga plant! If CT takes too long, I'm thinking of getting a Y first, CT later.

 

[craz]

I'm wondering if 3/Y should go to the midwest Giga plant! If CT takes too long, I'm thinking of getting a Y first, CT later.

This is the real struggle. If there was no Cybertruck, I would already have a Y.

Early 2022 is soon enough that I probably won't bite the bullet on a Y. Two expensive new cars in 2 years wouldn't be wise in my financial situation!

 

[Cyber1qhorsey]

Yeah, it's getting towards 'buddy can you spare a dime,' time...

 

[BillyGee]

I wouldn't put an ounce of faith into the 'order tracking spreadsheet'. It was just put together by people like us, with their own guesses. It may or may not be accurate, but if it is it is probably serendipity. And it doesn't and cannot take into account any/all of the factors that must come into play. It might be easier to guess if Tesla had stuck with the $2,500 reservation fee, but it is really anyone's guess how many $100 reservations will turn into purchases. I had an order for an MY that I cancelled when I put in the reservation for the CT, but the MY looks better al the time. If it weren't for the stainless steel and range of the CT I might even go back (but those factors are strong motivations for me to stick with the CT). I only provide this anecdotal example because 2+ years is a long time for anyone to hold onto an idea/dream, especially these days.

I think the spreadsheet is a lot of extrapolation since if you had done the same thing with the mY it would have been way off. There were several reports of people ordering in February and having vehicles delivered in March.

 

[TyPope]

I wouldn't put an ounce of faith into the 'order tracking spreadsheet'. It was just put together by people like us, with their own guesses. It may or may not be accurate, but if it is it is probably serendipity. And it doesn't and cannot take into account any/all of the factors that must come into play. It might be easier to guess if Tesla had stuck with the $2,500 reservation fee, but it is really anyone's guess how many $100 reservations will turn into purchases. I had an order for an MY that I cancelled when I put in the reservation for the CT, but the MY looks better al the time. If it weren't for the stainless steel and range of the CT I might even go back (but those factors are strong motivations for me to stick with the CT). I only provide this anecdotal example because 2+ years is a long time for anyone to hold onto an idea/dream, especially these days.

I agree. Two years is a long wait. It's especially long for someone like me who has been wanting a Tesla for years. I basically have to have a truck and have had one continuously for about 24 years now. Before that, sports cars. I ordered a CT a bit late because, well, my wife doesn't like it. I finally pulled the trigger anyway. She'll come around. But, what to do in the meantime? Long post short, we've now ordered a Model Y for her. I don't know how long that wait will be but it should be much less than 2 years. So, I'll get my Tesla fix vicariously through her! Lucky, me, right?

 

[kdn]

I couldn't wait so I bought a MS. Everyone asks me how I like it. I tell them I'll never purchase another ICE car. I am counting on being able to use the CT to Plow. If that is a reality then I perhaps will purchase a second one and either put rear drag plows on them or front plows if possible. Anyway ... I will never purchase another ICE car as a daily driver. I love my MS and will never go back.